The number of chips going into new phones fell 21% in the third quarter of 2026 compared with a year earlier, according to Counterpoint Research. Apple and Samsung were the only major chip vendors to gain market share. Everyone else either lost ground or stayed behind.
What changed
The main chip in a phone is called a system on a chip, or SoC. It handles most of what the phone does. Counterpoint tracks how many of these each company supplies. The report did not say how many chips were shipped in the quarter, only that the total fell 21%.
- MediaTek stayed first with 28%, down 6 percentage points.
- Qualcomm held second with 22%, down from 25%.
- Apple stayed third but rose from 17% to 21%.
- UNISOC was fourth with 13%, down from 14%.
- Samsung stayed fifth, rising from 6% to 8%.
Smaller makers grouped as other manufacturers also grew, from 4% to 8%.
Why phones are costing more
The backdrop is rising memory costs. Memory is the part of a phone that stores data and helps apps run. When it gets more expensive, phone makers pay more to build each device. Most raised prices more than once this year. Apple waited until September, when it launched the iPhone 18 Pro series, to raise iPhone prices.
On its fiscal Q4 2026 earnings call, Apple called the memory pricing situation "unprecedented." It warned that more increases would keep pressuring its profit margins in the coming quarters.
What happens next
September brought three major flagship chips built on TSMC's 2nm process: Apple's A20 series, MediaTek's Dimensity 9600 Pro and Qualcomm's Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 series. Counterpoint analyst Shivani Parashar said they should lift premium chip shipments in Q4 2026. Volumes are still likely to stay below Q4 2025 levels.
For the full year, Counterpoint expects chip shipments to fall 20% in 2026, then drop another 3% to 4% in 2027. It also expects memory prices to keep rising next year.
What it means for buyers
The report is about chips, not prices, so it does not say what any phone will cost. But the pattern it describes points one way. Memory is getting more expensive, and Counterpoint expects that to continue. Anyone planning to buy a phone soon should not count on prices easing next year.
The takeawayMemory costs are shrinking the phone chip market, and Counterpoint expects them to keep climbing next year, so do not bank on cheaper phones soon.