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AI · Who profits2 min read

AI may make less money for its makers than for those who control access

An essay argues that as AI models become alike, the biggest long-term profits may go to whoever controls customers and payments, not to the labs.

By the Dashline deskSource: Techmeme
AI may make less money for its makers than for those who control access
Photo: Milad Mosapoor, Public domain

A new opinion essay makes a point worth repeating to a friend: the companies building AI may not be the ones that get rich from it. The piece, from The Commanding Heights, says that as AI models become more alike, the models themselves stop being the scarce thing. The money, it argues, goes elsewhere.

The argument

The essay uses the word commoditize. In plain terms, that means products become so similar that buyers treat them as interchangeable, and prices fall. If that happens to AI models, owning a good one gives less of an edge.

The author says lasting profit would go to what it calls chokepoints. These are positions that are hard to replace and that let their holders keep the gains from increasingly capable AI. The examples named are distribution, payment rails, and a stablecoin dollar.

What those terms mean

  • Distribution: how a product reaches customers.
  • Payment rails: the systems that move money between buyers and sellers.
  • Stablecoin dollar: a digital coin backed by US dollars.

What is not known

This is an opinion essay, so treat it as one view, not a forecast. The full text was not available for this report, so details of its reasoning, evidence and any examples are not covered here. Nothing in the material says which companies are expected to win or lose.

Why it matters

For a business owner, the idea is simple. If AI tools become cheap and similar, the real costs and leverage may sit in who controls your customers and your payments. That is a reason to look at where you depend on others for both.

The takeaway

If AI tools turn into cheap look-alikes, the power may sit with whoever controls customers and payments, so check where your business depends on others.

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